Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Forex -eurousd

As stated earlier, Euro would move higher since breaking the fib 61.8 %.

UK Economy May Be Heading for a Double-Dip

Britain's "awful" gross domestic product figure for the fourth quarter is pushing the country closer to a double-dip and limits the central bank's ability to fight rising inflation, analysts and business leaders said Tuesday.

Sharon Lorimer / CNBC.com

The UK was the first country in the G7 to release economic growth figures for the last quarter of last year and the 0.5 percent GDP contraction, instead of an expected 0.5 percent expansion, sent the pound 1 percent lower against the dollar [GBP=X 1.5816 0.0003 (+0.02%) ] and the euro [GBPEUR=X 1.1549 -0.0004 (-0.03%) ] and knocked down European stocks.

David Blanchflower, a former Bank of England Monetary Policy Committeeknown for his dovish stance and currently a professor of economics at Dartmouth College, said the figure was "awful, dreadful." Read more

Price Drop Points to Likely Double Dip in Housing Market

U.S. single-family home prices fell for a fifth straight month in November and could plumb new lows soon, a closely watched survey showed on Tuesday.

Home For Sale - Reduced Priced
AP
Home For Sale - Reduced Priced

The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas declined 0.5 percent in November from October on a seasonally adjusted basis, though it was not as sharp as the 0.8 percent fall expected by economists.

Prices have fallen 1.6 percent in the past year, sharper than the 1.4 percent predicted by economists polled by Reuters.

"Everything in this report is unfortunately still sagging and still pointing downward," David Blitzer, S&P 500 Index Committee chairman, said in a CNBC interview just after the report was released. "The recent news across the board on housing except for existing home sales has been very, very disappointing. We still seem to be at best scraping along the bottom." Read more

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Stock Sectors To Ride The Recovery

Yes, the U.S. recovery has been modest, but it still has legs—if wobbly—this year.

uP CHART

For starters, US economic growth is widely expected to out-muscle Europe and Japan, and the positive signs are increasingly heartening, pushing analysts to raise their GDP estimates.

“The recovery is real,” says David Darst, chief investment strategist at MorganStanley SmithBarney. “But it will, at times, be halting and anemic.” He predicts that GDP growth will notch four percent this year, compared to 4.4 percent globally.

Global Gorillas

So, many analysts, including Darst, are bullish on stocks—especially multi-nationals with high dividends and attractive price-earnings ratios. “Don’t be underweight in global gorillas that are under loved,” adds Darst.

Dynamic emerging markets will grow 6.4 percent this year, adding oomph to U.S. industrial stocks. Of the BRICs India and China are set to notch the strongest gains and Brazil the lowest, according to MorganStanley estimates. Read more

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Forex -eurousd

Since Euro has broken the fib 61.8% and 100%. Expect this to move further up but since it is in overbought territory, there will be some pull back before moving further up.

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Set to sell at high -fib 61.8%

Set to sell Euro at fib 61.8% or 1.3217 because the longer term trend is still a downtrend.